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US house prices plunged by a record amount in the first three months but the smart money is overlooking the past data
Sam Adelton
May 27, 2008

The S&P/Case-Shiller national house price index is down more than 15% in the first quarter compared to the last year. The 20-year history of the index never saw such a devastating plunge. But in the middle of all gloom and domm the lumber futures rallied back after a sharp fall in initial trading.
The smart money has started looking forward. The hard hit areas are seeing some buying stampede in foreclosed properties. The slight slowing in the pace of month-on-month price declines in the first signal of stability that eventually results in a buying freenzy.
Interestingly, the new home sales rose 3.3 per cent in April to a 526,000 annual rate. The new construction starts are coming back again.
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