Bond market has severe resistance above 5% yield while the short rates will go far lower – how do you adjust your retirement portfolio?
John Hua
Jun. 27, 2007

The economic stagflation is creating a scenario for long bond yields to rise, while short-term rates to decline. It is the two-year note, and shorter in maturity that are making some moves, the long bond and the ten-year note are reacting to economic news.

Most likely, for now the long yields will hover above 5% while the shorter yields will fall fast. The Federal Reserve will fight its best to contain the stagflation in the economy. The stagnation from residential real estate, higher oil prices, and lack of real well paying jobs is bothering the Federal Reserve. While they intend to fight inflation, in the election year, their real attempt will be to reenergize the economy at any cost.

How do you adjust your portfolio? It is simple. Buy the shorter maturity notes and avoid the longer-term bonds.

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