Heavy insider selling patterns suggest after making one higher the stock market will go down more than 25%
Sam Adelton
Jun. 14, 2007

The Dow most like will hover around 11,000 by end of 2007. The downtrend will not start unless the major indices make one more new high with significant momentum divergence. In addition the MACD driven sell off is giving rise to a possibility of sharp rise for one month, formation of a second MACD convergence just below the previous one and then a final collapse in the Elliot Wave third wave extending to November- December of 2007.

S&P 500 will most likely reach 1530 to 1550 before the real bear market starts. Analytics point to decade long bare market taking Dow down to 2000 level by 2012, but for now those who want to sell short the stock futures should only do that when the market rallies another 4 to 5% from here and makes a new highs establishing mother of all divergences. Insiders are selling heavily just like in June-July of 1987. Possibility of a crash is less this time. But in effect with a four to six weeks lag, the market is poised for 25% drop.

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