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Lower and steady producer price index shows inflation not a problem – why did bond market collapse?
Peter Oberois
Jun. 14, 2007
The producer price index data shows inflation is not a problem. But the bond market collapsed. The rates shot up on the long end. Many investors are wondering what is happening?
Bond market is definitely watching the inflation. But, these days, Asian central banks hold US Treasuries to a sizable extent. The bonds fell because the central banks decided to reduce the excess liquidity out there.
Bond market collapse can be short lived because the Fed will soon realize that the rate hikes and longer end yield spike has caused the real estate market to collapse.
The inventories of unsold homes are actually skyrocketing. Fed is hoping a bottom in real estate by end of summer. In August when they realize real estate is in a bigger mess than they could ever think of, they will start lowering rates.
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