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Troubled auto sector manifests what has happened to the economy – the problem started in early eighties and now thins are collapsing - can Kerkorian bid for Chrysler help?
Peter Oberois
Apr. 5, 2007

The auto sector manifests what really happened to the economy. The problem really started in 1980. The recession of 1981-82 was cured in an artificial way – through unnecessary ballooning budget deficit. The auto sector collapsed as GM, Ford, Crysler’s dominance was overshadowed by the Japanese auto makers.

The auto sector like the economy got some artificial boosts When the Government in the late eighties decided to force to make the Japanese companies manufacture or assemble cars in America beyond certain quota.

The arrogant auto sector managements continued their obstinate policies. The economy and the stock market moved up in the bubble of the millennium. The Dow Jones Industrial Average really collapsed in 1987. But artificial means were used to boost it up.

The agony and pain of the economy started in 1980s. The auto sector’s pain also started the same time. Now perhaps the time has run its course. The stagflation has changed to deflation. The underemployment of the last two and a half decade has now started changing into unemployment. The auto sector has reached a point of no recovery.

Kirk Kerkorian, the billionaire US investor, on Thursday jolted the auction for Chrysler by making an all-cash bid worth $4.5bn to take over the troubled US carmaker from its German parent, Daimler Chrysler. But can his effort really help? GM snubbed him and ran towards potential bankruptcy. Ford is losing market share every day as Toyota and other Japanese companies grab the same right and left.

The economy is headed for a similar drop like the auto sector. The point of no return has come. The stagflation and starting deflation is catching up to the Federal Reserve making the Fed irrelevant. The Dow is ready to head back towards 1700 and this time it would fall below 1000 in real terms.



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