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What happens when large banks start failing after Dow reaches 5000?
Sunita Zaveri
Mar. 18, 2007

The run on the bank is not very pleasant. The panic in the public is catastrophic. Analytics manifest signs of massive problems in the economy. The stealth deflation is getting stronger every day. The huge ballooning budget deficit and the massive private loans are the root cause of the deflation.

It is likely that by third quarter the real GDP will be negative. By another six quarters, the GDP will start falling 3% or more. The large commercial banks will start failing by 2008-2009. Dow can reach 5000 or lower by end of 2010.

Some think tanks wonder what will life be those days?

< FDIC that insures individual deposits will itself become insolvent. It can only support three large bank failures. Federal Reserve will have zero percent fed funds rate. The long bond however will yield more than 4% due to increasing budget deficit and Asian Central Bank’s selling of Treasuries.

The house prices will have collapsed 70 to 80%. The unemployment will rise far above 20%. In the financial services sector seven out of ten people will be out of job. Investors will go after the corporate CEOs for their losses. The real estate, stock, bonds and futures brokerage will come to an end. Trading will move to the Internet entirely



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