Rise in retail sales show people are still optimistic and housing market is ready form a solid rebound this summer
Special Correspondent
Jan. 12, 2007

There is a positive correlation between retail sales and housing. The same factors drive the two. Retail sales falls apart when real big down cycle is ready to manifest itself. The housing market is in a multi-decade bear market. However, right now there are signs of price rebound in the next nine months to turn the typical housing gloom and doom bears bullish again. The sentiment plays a large role in any market. There are too many gloom and doom shouters in residential real estate right now. This has to change first before housing finally collapse in 2008-2009.

A smart strategy will be to dump your holdings in the ‘Bull Run’ and refrain from flipping tendencies. Hold the cash and try to accumulate real shrewd deals in the next ten years. The housing bubble has burst. But housing prices cannot fall unless common people get disappointed. Right now the investors are throwing their towel and home owners continue to borrow to pay their mortgage.

Rise in retail sales show people are still optimistic and housing market is ready form a solid rebound this summer
Special Correspondent
There is a positive correlation between retail sales and housing. The same factors drive the two. Retail sales falls apart when real big down cycle is ready to manifest itself. The housing market is in a multi-decade bear market.
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Oil and gold are ready for a fierce rally – cyclical bull trend within a secular bear market
Special Correspondent
Gold can retest $660 an ounce. Oil can retest the $60 a barrel. The stocks most likely look south with oil rising rapidly.
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Stagflation manifesting itself in UK and Euro zone – the effect on dollar, bond, gold and stocks
Special Correspondent
The effect on dollar or other currencies are positive. However, dollar index can rally sharply this year. Gold and commodities especially oil and metals will suffer. The worst effect will be on real estate and stock markets.
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Gold, metals and oil should rally here for a few days or weeks but the bear market is intact – a confirmation of deflation
Special Correspondent
The gold market can move up smartly now. The Euro can recover some. The oil and natural gas are showing signs of life and can rally nicely.
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Real estate will rally upwards now – a fast corrective cyclical bull move within a multi-decade secular bear market
Specia Correspondent
The corrective bull market is expected to be fierce and short lived – nine months to a year. After that the deflation effects will take hold and residential real estate will plunge again. The next wave downwards will affect all regions....
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American stock market bubble reaches India - NYSE picks up 20% stake in NSE
Specia Correspondent
The agreement signed on Wednesday pegs the enterprise value of the country's largest bourse at about 2.5 billion dollars.
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Are you ready to short General Electric - selling Plastics division and buying oil co. can be worst move when deep recession is coming
Special Correspondent
Have you considered selling GE short ever? What converted this magnificent company into a bad arb?
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